Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 121.981609 141.823545 165.580125 196.640139 236.990509 288.856188 3.627288e+02
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 95.793389 119.041743 149.927175 195.659581 264.989267 372.788757 5.698803e+02
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 83.011403 107.255755 141.547771 196.538908 289.281187 455.924980 8.345772e+02
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 71.755930 95.084873 129.477526 187.738111 293.879767 507.339412 1.094008e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 66.831925 90.977239 128.206853 195.269241 329.043415 639.143419 1.759632e+03
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 60.235067 83.341375 119.961018 188.528880 333.707304 705.605298 2.382492e+03
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 56.348331 79.366564 116.974692 190.559132 357.688233 842.938698 3.866711e+03
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 52.162937 74.411563 111.568324 186.661762 366.589531 944.897392 5.879016e+03
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 51.654670 75.355141 116.514314 204.772686 438.997311 1369.383945 2.113582e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 52.107025 77.922921 124.771689 232.423126 556.847157 2303.133726 2.297998e+06
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 49.291615 74.486854 121.075680 231.430614 584.144186 2812.169728 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 47.148200 72.042534 119.008835 234.000136 626.737301 3655.096049 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 44.096529 68.068881 114.143638 230.522851 654.606998 4724.168549 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 41.607513 64.954492 110.767025 230.658284 702.338300 6801.448735 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 39.496676 62.308184 107.947712 231.500249 756.186282 10437.802938 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 36.759322 58.234314 101.538276 220.405392 741.744203 12184.523310 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 35.717866 57.320946 101.953860 229.932296 853.639479 28844.538952 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 33.622307 54.176750 96.969204 221.396649 849.467107 39427.683793 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 32.394749 52.649395 95.511908 223.964337 925.178692 113701.438781 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 30.846038 50.366086 92.042585 219.037298 943.971625 279236.699761 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 30.890459 51.288474 96.263881 242.028640 1234.166619 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 31.341911 53.087004 102.940570 277.585936 1803.421129 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 30.177596 51.383845 100.508872 276.300331 1931.304527 NaN NaN